South Africa

South Africa shipped 1.1 Mt of CBAM goods to the EU in 2025 (1 % of all CBAM imports, down 9 % on 2024). Most of the exposure comes from iron and steel. At default values the 2026 CBAM bill would be about €196 m, ranking it 14th of 152 countries.

1.1 MtEU imports, 2025
€1.24 bncustoms value
€196 mCBAM exposure 2026
€173/taverage per tonne

What it exports

Steel 76 %Aluminium 20 %Fertilisers 0 %Cement 4 %
SectorTonnes 2025ValueExposure 20262034
Iron and steel862 kt€601 m€170 m€301 m
Aluminium226 kt€633 m€23.0 m€57.9 m
Cement47 kt€2.6 m€3.5 m€7.1 m
Fertilisers430 t€700 k€43 k€67 k

Products with the largest exposure

Default value (2026, incl. mark-up) and CBAM benchmark in tCO₂e per tonne. For 6 % of the tonnage no country-specific default is published, so the higher “other countries and territories” value applies.

CN codeProductTonnesDefaultBenchmarkExposure
7201 10 90Non-alloy pig iron in pigs, blocks or other primary forms, containing by weight ≤ 0,5 % … 180 kt3.8171.210€39.1 m
7201 10 11Non-alloy pig iron in pigs, blocks or other primary forms, containing by weight ≤ 0,5 % … 140 kt3.8171.210€30.4 m
7202 41 90Ferro-chromium, containing by weight > 6 % carbon 202 kt2.5851.142€24.5 m
7601 10 90Aluminium, not alloyed, unwrought (excl. slabs) 194 kt2.5941.423€19.3 m
7201 10 19Non-alloy pig iron in pigs, blocks or other primary forms, containing by weight ≤ 0,5 % … 82 kt3.8171.210€17.8 m
7210 49 00Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, hot-rolled or c… 49 kt4.6421.491€12.9 m
7213 91 49Bars and rods, hot-rolled, of iron or non-alloy steel, in irregularly wound coils, conta… 35 kt4.4331.364€8.8 m
7202 19 00Ferro-manganese, containing by weight ≤ 2 % carbon other countries20 kt6.1491.361€7.9 m
7202 41 10Ferro-chromium, containing by weight > 4 % but ≤ 6 % carbon 63 kt2.5851.142€7.7 m
2523 10 00Cement clinkers other countries47 kt1.5510.666€3.5 m
7219 33 90Flat-rolled products of stainless steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, not further worked than… 13 kt4.2791.270€3.3 m
7219 34 90Flat-rolled products of stainless steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, not further worked than… 13 kt4.2791.270€3.2 m

Outlook

Same 2025 volumes, same certificate price (€82.32), default values throughout.

€196 m2026 · 10 % mark-up, 97.5 % free allocation
€307 m2030 · 30 % mark-up, 51.5 % free allocation
€366 m2034 · free allocation ends

Carbon pricing in South Africa

South Africa has levied a carbon tax since 2019, but with large tax-free allowances for industry, so the effective rate per tonne is far below the EU price.

Where it sits on the map

CBAM exposure 2026, at default values over €1 bn €100 m – 1 bn €10 – 100 m €1 – 10 m under €1 m EU

Read more

Nearby in the ranking: Algeria, United States, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates.

Sources: Eurostat Comext (DS-045409), annual 2025; Implementing Regulations (EU) 2025/2621 and 2025/2620. See methodology.