India

India shipped 4.4 Mt of CBAM goods to the EU in 2025 (3.9 % of all CBAM imports, down 12 % on 2024). Most of the exposure comes from iron and steel. At default values the 2026 CBAM bill would be about €1.17 bn, ranking it 5th of 152 countries.

4.4 MtEU imports, 2025
€5.30 bncustoms value
€1.17 bnCBAM exposure 2026
€265/taverage per tonne

What it exports

Steel 91 %Aluminium 7 %Fertilisers 0 %Cement 2 %
SectorTonnes 2025ValueExposure 20262034
Iron and steel4.0 Mt€4.39 bn€1.14 bn€1.88 bn
Aluminium313 kt€904 m€25.6 m€73.1 m
Fertilisers3 kt€4.4 m€253 k€380 k
Cement84 kt€6.1 m€1 k€2.5 m

Products with the largest exposure

Default value (2026, incl. mark-up) and CBAM benchmark in tCO₂e per tonne.

CN codeProductTonnesDefaultBenchmarkExposure
7210 70 80Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, hot-rolled or c… 311 kt4.7081.491€83.2 m
7210 49 00Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, hot-rolled or c… 291 kt4.7081.491€78.0 m
7207 11 16Semi-finished products, of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight < 0,25 % carbon… 243 kt4.6971.364€67.3 m
7208 51 20Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, not in coils, s… 236 kt4.7081.370€65.4 m
7209 17 90Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, in coils, simpl… 240 kt4.7081.458€65.0 m
7209 16 90Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, in coils, simpl… 204 kt4.7081.458€55.2 m
7208 37 00Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, in coils, simpl… 137 kt4.7081.370€38.1 m
7206 90 00Iron and non-alloy steel, in puddled bars or other primary forms (excl. ingots, remelted… 280 kt2.9041.288€38.0 m
7210 12 20Tinplate of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm and of a thickness of < 0,5 … 106 kt4.7081.491€28.4 m
7208 38 00Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, in coils, simpl… 95 kt4.7081.370€26.3 m
7202 19 00Ferro-manganese, containing by weight ≤ 2 % carbon 63 kt6.1491.361€24.9 m
7225 99 00Flat-rolled products of alloy steel other than stainless, of a width of ≥ 600 mm, hot-ro… 46 kt8.0521.706€23.9 m

Outlook

Same 2025 volumes, same certificate price (€82.32), default values throughout.

€1.17 bn2026 · 10 % mark-up, 97.5 % free allocation
€1.70 bn2030 · 30 % mark-up, 51.5 % free allocation
€1.96 bn2034 · free allocation ends

Carbon pricing in India

India's Carbon Credit Trading Scheme sets greenhouse gas emission-intensity targets for energy-intensive sectors. It is an intensity-based credit system rather than a cap with a price on every tonne, so its value for the CBAM deduction is uncertain.

Where it sits on the map

CBAM exposure 2026, at default values over €1 bn €100 m – 1 bn €10 – 100 m €1 – 10 m under €1 m EU

Read more

Nearby in the ranking: Türkiye, Russia, Ukraine, Egypt.

Sources: Eurostat Comext (DS-045409), annual 2025; Implementing Regulations (EU) 2025/2621 and 2025/2620. See methodology.