Iron and steel

73.8 Mt imported from 145 countries in 2025. Estimated CBAM exposure at default values: €11.4 bn in 2026, €20.8 bn by 2034. The largest CBAM sector by far. It covers iron ore pellets and pig iron through semi-finished and flat products to tubes, structures, screws and bolts. Only direct emissions count, and the benchmark depends on the production route.

Blast furnace, DRI or scrap: why the steel route sets the price

CountryEU imports 2025Exposure 2026per tonne
China9.1 Mt€2.47 bn€272/t
Indonesia3.2 Mt€2.02 bn€638/t
India4.0 Mt€1.14 bn€285/t
Türkiye7.4 Mt€1.14 bn€153/t
Russia5.2 Mt€923 m€178/t
Ukraine9.2 Mt€491 m€54/t
Taiwan2.4 Mt€398 m€167/t
South Korea3.6 Mt€377 m€104/t
Vietnam2.9 Mt€326 m€111/t
United Kingdom2.3 Mt€303 m€130/t
Egypt913 kt€261 m€286/t
South Africa862 kt€170 m€197/t
Malaysia628 kt€155 m€246/t
Algeria881 kt€131 m€149/t
United Arab Emirates428 kt€112 m€263/t
Brazil4.4 Mt€110 m€25/t
Kazakhstan317 kt€103 m€325/t
United States2.1 Mt€95.1 m€46/t
Saudi Arabia352 kt€89.7 m€255/t
Japan809 kt€82.2 m€102/t
Australia405 kt€64.3 m€159/t
Tunisia233 kt€60.3 m€258/t
Venezuela669 kt€58.5 m€87/t
Thailand243 kt€52.2 m€215/t
Moldova200 kt€51.7 m€259/t
Libya370 kt€37.7 m€102/t
Oman100 kt€24.5 m€246/t
North Macedonia471 kt€22.2 m€47/t
Bosnia and Herzegovina189 kt€21.8 m€115/t
Albania73 kt€17.2 m€237/t
Pakistan58 kt€14.7 m€253/t
Mexico415 kt€13.1 m€32/t
Canada8.9 Mt€12.5 m€1/t
Zimbabwe66 kt€9.6 m€145/t
Iran101 kt€7.0 m€69/t
Qatar74 kt€6.8 m€92/t
Morocco24 kt€6.5 m€269/t
Georgia19 kt€4.6 m€243/t
Liberia82 kt€4.5 m€56/t
Colombia36 kt€4.5 m€124/t